Kraft Foods remains the favourite to buy Cadbury, a leading industry analyst claimed even if US chocolate maker Hershey tables a bid for the Dairy Milk maker.
Andrew Wood, senior research analyst covering European food companies at Sanford Bernstein, said Kraft was still the front-runner to buy Cadbury. Wood suggested, however, that a "likely" bid from Hershey - either on its own or alongside Ferrero or Nestle - would mean an acquisition of Cadbury would not be the "steal" that Kraft had hoped.
Bernstein's Wood claimed a merger between Cadbury and Hershey would be "bad news" for the UK's largest confectioner. He added that a bid involving Hershey would likely "come up short" - but force Kraft to pay "a much more reasonable price". Wood said: "We believe that Nestlé’s interest will only be on the coat-tails of a Hershey bid, to try to get its Kit Kat brand back in the US. While we think a merger of Cadbury and Hershey would be bad news for Cadbury and its shareholders - and would probably be rejected by the shareholders - we believe a Pac-Man defence to acquire Kraft’s confectionery business would be great for Cadbury, but is very unlikely to succeed. Our view remains that Kraft remains the favourite to complete the deal, despite its mismanagement of the process to date, and we continue to retain our price target of GBP9. We believe that it will need more than Kraft’s current offer, especially with the potential emergence of counter-bidders, to get Cadbury to sell given the strong expected operating performance."
Source Just-food.com read full story here